Small ray of hope, but no all-clear

Written by Patrick Hussy | 06 November 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The November data provides some hope: the economic index for the eurozone rises by 3.4 points to -18.6 points. Economic expectations in particular are surprising with an increase of 6.8 points. A similar trend can be seen for Germany. While the current assessment remains in recessionary territory, expectations are recovering even more dynamically. There are also small rays of hope in the international data. Economic expectations are rising almost everywhere, with the situation figures in the USA even showing an exclamation mark. Despite these glimmers of hope, the issue of stagnation is not yet off the table.

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sentix Survey results (44-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 05 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Short-term euphoria

There was a surprisingly positive price reaction for shares last week. This obviously made a big impression on investors and literally euphorised sentiment. This is likely to prove to be a short-term buzzkill, especially as there are now medium-term question marks for investors. These need to be "consolidated".

Further results

• Bonds: A leap for joy here too
• Gold: Ongoing consolidation
• sentix economic index: Monday, 06^th Nov. 2023 at 10:30 CET

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sentix Survey results (43-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Surprisingly little fear

The share price losses have had surprisingly little effect on investor sentiment. As anxious as they were in the summer, they are now very calm. In bonds, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias of US bonds. This should put pressure on the "shorties".

Further results

• Bonds: Convinced professionals
• Silver: Sharp drop in the TD Index
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (42-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 22 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fear looks different

Sentiment on the stock markets has plummeted. Sentiment reflects a high level of pessimism, but fear looks different: Significantly lower sentiment values would have to be reached for this to happen. What is also missing is that fear normally triggers panic selling. This behavior is not observed in the positioning data so far. In the case of gold and silver, sentiment is shooting through the roof.

Further results

• Equities: Conflict between economic cycle and bias
• Gold: Investors rejoice, risk increases
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (41-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 15 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity bias continues tightly upwards

The strategic bias for equities continues to point firmly upward. Investors recognize an opportunity in the price decline. However, they do not act on it, they adjust their investment behavior only slowly! The precious metals can profit from the war fear in Israel clearly. Gold sentiment jumps here dynamically, the momentum promises more. On the crypto track, vola also hints. Neutrality goes through the roof for Bitcoins.

Further results

• Bitcoins: All-time high in neutrality
• Gold: Sentiment impulse
• sentix sector sentiment

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