sentix Survey results (30-2023)

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Signal of new beginnings in China, lethargy in Europe

The stock market in China is doing something remarkable. The investment professionals in particular are sending a strong signal of departure. Crude oil is also slowly developing momentum: the bias has increased by 12 percentage points in the last 6 weeks. Statistically, this means tailwinds for black gold, especially since the positioning of market participants is still lagging behind. Will this lead to new inflationary pressures? Bond investors are looking to the future with promise. Record bias leads to record long positioning.

Further results

  • Bonds: Record bias leads to record long positioning
  • Crude oil: new boost
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (29-2023)

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Strong interest in bonds - bias reaches all-time high!

The underlying interest in bonds remains strong. For the U.S. in particular, the bias is developing diametrically to the positioning pattern. In terms of investor behavior, there are therefore clear opportunities. Basic strategic confidence is also rising in gold and bitcoins. This conviction is lacking in equities. Rather, the pessimistic sentiment from 2 weeks ago is still having an effect, the short squeeze that was unleashed is still in full swing. A vola signal is pending at the end.

Further results

  • Equities: Short squeeze still running
  • Gold: Solid bias development
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (28-2023)

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Short-covering underway

After the sentiment signal of the previous week, the price upswing in equities has put the bears under pressure and already forced large parts of them to give up. A good part of the performance potential has been worked off, but not all of it. There are new, interesting signals to report for silver and crude oil.

Further results

  • Bonds: Continued high underlying confidence
  • Crude oil: Bias upswing
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (27-2023)

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Vola is back - fears too

The Vola is back! Via the high neutrality, we have recently received the hint that the price volatility will increase in the summer. This process has now begun: the neutral camp is starting to take sides. Very impulsively, the sentiment sags downwards. A tactical recovery is thus in the offing. However, the all-clear cannot be given yet. A new buying reflex is not indicated by the bias. The Super Neutrality Index also still offers considerable room to the downside.

Further results

  • Bonds: Z-score in TD index at almost -3!
  • Gold: Bias goes into advance
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 10th July at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (26-2023)

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Basic confidence in precious metals returns

The negative sentiment in equities was followed by a clearly positive price reaction last week. The bears then moved back into the neutral camp. Strategically, the reservations remain. Not so with precious metals. In the case of gold and silver, the basic strategic confidence may improve. The sentix data also signal further support for bonds.

Further results

  • Equities: Neutrality rises again
  • Bonds: TD index remains positive

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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